Arkansas at No. 7 Texas: Week 12 preview

Arkansas (3-5) visits No. 7 Texas (6-2) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Arkansas -0.4 (71st), Texas 20.4 (8th). SP+ projects Texas by 23.3, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Arkansas offense ranks 110th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the Texas defense ranks 13th (−0.03 allowed). The Texas defense holds the edge in passing-downs success rate, passing explosiveness, explosiveness.
The Texas offense ranks 91st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.06); the Arkansas defense ranks 122nd (+0.23 allowed). Biggest Texas edges: rushing success rate, second-level yards per carry, standard-downs success rate. The Arkansas defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Arkansas +11.9 (3rd toughest), Texas +11.6 (5th toughest).