No. 22 Arizona at Kansas State: Week 12 preview

No. 22 Arizona (6-2) visits Kansas State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 21 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Arizona 16.0 (14th), Kansas State 8.8 (39th). SP+ projects Arizona by 4.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Arizona offense ranks 14th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.26); the Kansas State defense ranks 108th (+0.19 allowed). Biggest Arizona edges: explosiveness, passing-downs success rate, EPA per play. The Kansas State defense holds the edge in sack rate, stuff rate, standard-downs success rate.
The Kansas State offense ranks 55th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Arizona defense ranks 25th (+0.01 allowed). Biggest Kansas State edges: power success rate, rushing explosiveness, sack rate. The Arizona defense holds the edge in EPA per pass, passing success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Arizona +0.2 (70th toughest), Kansas State −0.2 (75th toughest).