Wisconsin at Maryland: Week 11 preview

Wisconsin (5-3) visits Maryland (2-6) on Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Wisconsin 8.7 (40th), Maryland -2.1 (81st). SP+ projects Wisconsin by 8.3, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Wisconsin offense ranks 88th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.07); the Maryland defense ranks 119th (+0.22 allowed). Biggest Wisconsin edges: rushing explosiveness, explosiveness, EPA per rush. The Maryland defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate.
The Maryland offense ranks 111th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the Wisconsin defense ranks 14th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Maryland edges: sack rate. The Wisconsin defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, EPA per pass, second-level yards per carry.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Wisconsin +8.3 (19th toughest), Maryland +10.0 (11th toughest).
Weather: Mostly clear, 48°F at kickoff (feels like 38°), 4% chance of rain, wind NW 11 mph gusting to 18.