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Washington at Michigan State: Week 11 preview

• Washington (5-3) visits Michigan State (2-6) on Sat, Nov 14 · 4:15 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Washington 9.5 (35th), Michigan State -3.0 (88th). SP+ projects Washington by 10.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Washington offense ranks 89th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.06); the Michigan State defense ranks 100th (+0.17 allowed). Biggest Washington edges: standard-downs success rate. The Michigan State defense holds the edge in stuff rate, rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush.
• The Michigan State offense ranks 126th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the Washington defense ranks 26th (+0.01 allowed). The Washington defense holds the edge in EPA per play, EPA per pass, EPA per rush.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Washington +3.3 (54th toughest), Michigan State +8.9 (15th toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 49°F at kickoff (feels like 39°), 1% chance of rain, wind W 12 mph gusting to 22.