Early Downs College › Week 11

No. 16 Wake Forest at SMU: Week 11 preview

• No. 16 Wake Forest (7-1) visits SMU (6-2) on Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET. The line is Wake Forest −3.5 with a total of 55.5.
• SP+ power ratings: Wake Forest 12.2 (25th), SMU 13.4 (21st). SP+ projects SMU by 3.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Wake Forest offense ranks 2nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.37); the SMU defense ranks 79th (+0.13 allowed). Biggest Wake Forest edges: EPA per rush, EPA per play, rushing success rate.
• The SMU offense ranks 28th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the Wake Forest defense ranks 40th (+0.05 allowed). Biggest SMU edges: passing success rate, sack rate, EPA per pass. The Wake Forest defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, stuff rate, explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Wake Forest −0.3 (76th toughest), SMU −0.8 (79th toughest).
• Weather: Cloudy, 50°F at kickoff (feels like 42°), 10% chance of rain, wind E 5 mph gusting to 12.