No. 3 Utah at No. 22 Arizona: Week 11 preview

No. 3 Utah (8-0) visits No. 22 Arizona (6-2) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD. The line is Utah −1.5 with a total of 51.5.
SP+ power ratings: Utah 18.0 (10th), Arizona 16.0 (14th). SP+ projects Arizona by 0.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Utah offense ranks 7th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.31); the Arizona defense ranks 25th (+0.01 allowed). Biggest Utah edges: rushing explosiveness, passing-downs success rate, second-level yards per carry. The Arizona defense holds the edge in stuff rate.
The Arizona offense ranks 14th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.26); the Utah defense ranks 21st (−0.01 allowed). Biggest Arizona edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness, passing-downs success rate. The Utah defense holds the edge in stuff rate, EPA per rush, line yards per carry.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Utah +1.1 (64th toughest), Arizona +0.2 (70th toughest).
Weather watch: Clear, 64°F at kickoff (feels like 62°), 9% chance of rain, wind W 8 mph gusting to 30.