Early Downs College › Week 11

Utah State at San Diego State: Week 11 preview

• Utah State (3-5) visits San Diego State (4-5) on Sat, Nov 14 · 9:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Utah State -9.2 (105th), San Diego State -8.6 (104th). SP+ projects San Diego State by 3.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Utah State offense ranks 105th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.03); the San Diego State defense ranks 85th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Utah State edges: passing-downs success rate, line yards per carry. The San Diego State defense holds the edge in sack rate.
• The San Diego State offense ranks 109th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.01); the Utah State defense ranks 36th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest San Diego State edges: sack rate, rushing explosiveness. The Utah State defense holds the edge in EPA per pass, stuff rate, passing-downs success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Utah State +1.1 (65th toughest), San Diego State +1.9 (61st toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 68°F at kickoff (feels like 68°), 25% chance of rain, wind W 4 mph gusting to 16.