No. 20 USC at No. 4 Indiana: Week 11 preview

No. 20 USC (7-2) visits No. 4 Indiana (8-1) on Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET. The line is Indiana −7 with a total of 50.5.
SP+ power ratings: USC 14.2 (18th), Indiana 24.2 (6th). SP+ projects Indiana by 12.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
The USC offense ranks 17th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.25); the Indiana defense ranks 17th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest USC edges: passing-downs success rate, explosiveness. The Indiana defense holds the edge in power success rate, EPA per rush, line yards per carry.
The Indiana offense ranks 19th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.24); the USC defense ranks 76th (+0.12 allowed). Biggest Indiana edges: passing explosiveness, EPA per pass, explosiveness. The USC defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate, rushing explosiveness.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): USC +6.7 (31st toughest), Indiana +7.0 (28th toughest).
Weather: Partly cloudy, 48°F at kickoff (feels like 39°), 5% chance of rain, wind W 8 mph gusting to 12.