Early Downs College › Week 11

North Texas at UTSA: Week 11 preview

• North Texas (6-2) visits UTSA (7-1) on Sat, Nov 14 · 9:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: North Texas -0.6 (72nd), UTSA 3.5 (59th). SP+ projects UTSA by 6.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The North Texas offense ranks 5th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.31); the UTSA defense ranks 91st (+0.15 allowed). Biggest North Texas edges: sack rate, explosiveness, rushing explosiveness.
• The UTSA offense ranks 30th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the North Texas defense ranks 98th (+0.17 allowed). Biggest UTSA edges: standard-downs success rate, success rate, EPA per play.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): North Texas −1.3 (81st toughest), UTSA −1.2 (80th toughest).
• Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.