Early Downs College › Week 11

UNLV at New Mexico: Week 11 preview

• UNLV (5-3) visits New Mexico (7-1) on Sat, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: UNLV -2.2 (82nd), New Mexico 9.3 (36th). SP+ projects New Mexico by 14.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The UNLV offense ranks 65th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the New Mexico defense ranks 2nd (−0.16 allowed). Biggest UNLV edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness, rushing explosiveness. The New Mexico defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, passing-downs success rate, success rate.
• The New Mexico offense ranks 80th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.09); the UNLV defense ranks 56th (+0.08 allowed). Biggest New Mexico edges: stuff rate, second-level yards per carry, EPA per rush. The UNLV defense holds the edge in EPA per pass, sack rate, passing success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): UNLV −6.8 (119th toughest), New Mexico −8.1 (128th toughest).
• Weather: Cloudy, 47°F at kickoff (feels like 42°), 8% chance of rain, wind SW 6 mph gusting to 7.