No. 15 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Week 11 preview

No. 15 Texas Tech (7-1) visits Oklahoma State (5-3) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD. The line is Texas Tech −1.5 with a total of 63.5.
SP+ power ratings: Texas Tech 18.4 (9th), Oklahoma State 12.4 (23rd). SP+ projects Texas Tech by 3.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Texas Tech offense ranks 58th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Oklahoma State defense ranks 92nd (+0.16 allowed). Biggest Texas Tech edges: passing success rate, standard-downs success rate, success rate. The Oklahoma State defense holds the edge in power success rate.
The Oklahoma State offense ranks 33rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the Texas Tech defense ranks 22nd (+0.00 allowed). Biggest Oklahoma State edges: passing success rate, sack rate. The Texas Tech defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, power success rate, EPA per rush.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Texas Tech +3.2 (55th toughest), Oklahoma State +3.9 (50th toughest).
Weather: Clear, 52°F at kickoff (feels like 45°), 12% chance of rain, wind S 6 mph gusting to 6.