Early Downs College › Week 11

Troy at South Alabama: Week 11 preview

• Troy (4-4) visits South Alabama (4-4) on Sat, Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Troy -9.9 (108th), South Alabama -11.5 (115th). SP+ projects South Alabama by 0.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Troy offense ranks 116th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.00); the South Alabama defense ranks 126th (+0.27 allowed). Biggest Troy edges: rushing explosiveness, second-level yards per carry, rushing success rate. The South Alabama defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness.
• The South Alabama offense ranks 40th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.17); the Troy defense ranks 46th (+0.06 allowed). Biggest South Alabama edges: stuff rate, sack rate, passing explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Troy −6.0 (112th toughest), South Alabama −6.2 (114th toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 50°F at kickoff (feels like 42°), 7% chance of rain, wind N 6 mph gusting to 11.