Early Downs College › Week 11

Syracuse at NC State: Week 11 preview

• Syracuse (4-4) visits NC State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Syracuse -2.8 (87th), NC State -0.9 (74th). SP+ projects NC State by 4.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Syracuse offense ranks 106th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.03); the NC State defense ranks 114th (+0.20 allowed). Biggest Syracuse edges: sack rate, explosiveness, passing success rate. The NC State defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, passing-downs success rate.
• The NC State offense ranks 53rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the Syracuse defense ranks 86th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest NC State edges: power success rate, standard-downs success rate, passing success rate. The Syracuse defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, passing explosiveness, stuff rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Syracuse +5.1 (41st toughest), NC State +0.7 (67th toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 51°F at kickoff (feels like 44°), 4% chance of rain, wind NW 7 mph gusting to 11.