Purdue at No. 19 Iowa: Week 11 preview

Purdue (3-5) visits No. 19 Iowa (6-2) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Purdue 0.2 (69th), Iowa 12.4 (23rd). SP+ projects Iowa by 14.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Purdue offense ranks 49th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the Iowa defense ranks 34th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Purdue edges: EPA per pass. The Iowa defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, power success rate, second-level yards per carry.
The Iowa offense ranks 86th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.07); the Purdue defense ranks 130th (+0.29 allowed). Biggest Iowa edges: sack rate, passing success rate, EPA per pass. The Purdue defense holds the edge in power success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Purdue +11.6 (4th toughest), Iowa +5.1 (40th toughest).
Weather: Clear, 49°F at kickoff (feels like 41°), 5% chance of rain, wind W 8 mph gusting to 8.