Early Downs College › Week 11

Oregon State at No. 25 Boise State: Week 11 preview

• Oregon State (5-3) visits No. 25 Boise State (7-1) on Sat, Nov 14 · 6:00 PM ET. The line is Boise State −4.5 with a total of 62.5.
• SP+ power ratings: Oregon State 6.6 (50th), Boise State 10.9 (29th). SP+ projects Boise State by 6.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Oregon State offense ranks 20th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.24); the Boise State defense ranks 45th (+0.06 allowed). Biggest Oregon State edges: passing-downs success rate, explosiveness, EPA per rush.
• The Boise State offense ranks 6th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.31); the Oregon State defense ranks 80th (+0.13 allowed). Biggest Boise State edges: EPA per play, EPA per pass, passing-downs success rate. The Oregon State defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Oregon State −3.0 (90th toughest), Boise State +0.3 (69th toughest).
• Weather: Cloudy, 52°F at kickoff (feels like 48°), 42% chance of rain, wind NE 7 mph gusting to 11.