Ohio at Miami (OH): Week 11 preview

Ohio (7-2) visits Miami (OH) (5-4) on Tue, Nov 10 · 8:00 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Ohio -1.5 (78th), Miami (OH) -4.2 (92nd). SP+ projects an even game, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Ohio offense ranks 36th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the Miami (OH) defense ranks 77th (+0.13 allowed). Biggest Ohio edges: passing-downs success rate, EPA per pass, passing success rate.
The Miami (OH) offense ranks 71st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Ohio defense ranks 61st (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Miami (OH) edges: rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush, second-level yards per carry. The Ohio defense holds the edge in sack rate, standard-downs success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Ohio −13.2 (138th toughest), Miami (OH) −8.5 (131st toughest).
Weather: Clear, 52°F at kickoff (feels like 47°), 0% chance of rain, wind W 7 mph gusting to 7.