Early Downs College › Week 11

Minnesota at Penn State: Week 11 preview

• Minnesota (5-3) visits Penn State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Minnesota 3.9 (57th), Penn State 9.3 (36th). SP+ projects Penn State by 7.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Minnesota offense ranks 130th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.05); the Penn State defense ranks 48th (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Minnesota edges: sack rate. The Penn State defense holds the edge in stuff rate, success rate, passing-downs success rate.
• The Penn State offense ranks 57th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Minnesota defense ranks 37th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Penn State edges: power success rate, stuff rate, passing-downs success rate. The Minnesota defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Minnesota +5.5 (36th toughest), Penn State +2.2 (60th toughest).
• Weather watch: Clear, 35°F at kickoff (feels like 27°), 3% chance of rain, wind W 8 mph gusting to 29.