Kansas State at TCU: Week 11 preview

Kansas State (4-4) visits TCU (4-4) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD.
SP+ power ratings: Kansas State 8.8 (39th), TCU 8.6 (41st). SP+ projects TCU by 2.3, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Kansas State offense ranks 55th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the TCU defense ranks 6th (−0.07 allowed). The TCU defense holds the edge in explosiveness, passing explosiveness, EPA per pass.
The TCU offense ranks 108th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.02); the Kansas State defense ranks 108th (+0.19 allowed). Biggest TCU edges: passing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Kansas State defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, sack rate, success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Kansas State −0.2 (75th toughest), TCU +4.2 (48th toughest).
Weather: Cloudy, 54°F at kickoff (feels like 47°), 11% chance of rain, wind NE 5 mph gusting to 13.