Early Downs College › Week 11

Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky: Week 11 preview

• Jacksonville State (6-2) visits Western Kentucky (3-5) on Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Jacksonville State -2.6 (84th), Western Kentucky -11.5 (115th). SP+ projects Jacksonville State by 6.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Jacksonville State offense ranks 56th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Western Kentucky defense ranks 106th (+0.19 allowed). Biggest Jacksonville State edges: passing-downs success rate, sack rate, second-level yards per carry.
• The Western Kentucky offense ranks 125th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the Jacksonville State defense ranks 69th (+0.11 allowed). Biggest Western Kentucky edges: stuff rate. The Jacksonville State defense holds the edge in passing success rate, EPA per pass, explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Jacksonville State −6.9 (120th toughest), Western Kentucky −1.7 (82nd toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 50°F at kickoff (feels like 41°), 2% chance of rain, wind NW 7 mph gusting to 13.