Early Downs College › Week 11

Georgia Southern at Georgia State: Week 11 preview

• Georgia Southern (4-4) visits Georgia State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Georgia Southern -4.8 (94th), Georgia State -9.2 (105th). SP+ projects Georgia Southern by 1.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Georgia Southern offense ranks 60th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Georgia State defense ranks 68th (+0.11 allowed). The Georgia State defense holds the edge in stuff rate.
• The Georgia State offense ranks 47th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Georgia Southern defense ranks 55th (+0.08 allowed). Biggest Georgia State edges: passing explosiveness, EPA per pass, second-level yards per carry. The Georgia Southern defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, power success rate, stuff rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Georgia Southern −0.5 (77th toughest), Georgia State −8.0 (127th toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 56°F at kickoff (feels like 48°), 6% chance of rain, wind NW 8 mph gusting to 8.