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Florida State at Pittsburgh: Week 11 preview

• Florida State (3-5) visits Pittsburgh (6-3) on Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Florida State 5.8 (53rd), Pittsburgh 7.9 (44th). SP+ projects Pittsburgh by 4.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Florida State offense ranks 46th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Pittsburgh defense ranks 31st (+0.03 allowed). Biggest Florida State edges: passing explosiveness, explosiveness, rushing explosiveness. The Pittsburgh defense holds the edge in sack rate, standard-downs success rate, power success rate.
• The Pittsburgh offense ranks 77th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.10); the Florida State defense ranks 123rd (+0.24 allowed). Biggest Pittsburgh edges: line yards per carry, stuff rate, power success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Florida State +9.8 (12th toughest), Pittsburgh +4.0 (49th toughest).
• Weather: Light snow, 37°F at kickoff (feels like 30°), 5% chance of rain, wind W 10 mph gusting to 24.