Early Downs College › Week 11

Florida Atlantic at Tulsa: Week 11 preview

• Florida Atlantic (5-3) visits Tulsa (4-4) on Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET.
• SP+ power ratings: Florida Atlantic -3.4 (90th), Tulsa -2.2 (82nd). SP+ projects Tulsa by 3.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Florida Atlantic offense ranks 32nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the Tulsa defense ranks 62nd (+0.10 allowed). Biggest Florida Atlantic edges: passing success rate, passing-downs success rate, EPA per pass. The Tulsa defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry, rushing success rate.
• The Tulsa offense ranks 39th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.17); the Florida Atlantic defense ranks 127th (+0.28 allowed). Biggest Tulsa edges: rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush, power success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Florida Atlantic −5.3 (104th toughest), Tulsa −3.1 (91st toughest).
• Weather: Mostly clear, 54°F at kickoff (feels like 47°), 9% chance of rain, wind SE 4 mph gusting to 5.