East Carolina at Charlotte: Week 11 preview

East Carolina (4-4) visits Charlotte (1-7) on Sat, Nov 14 · 1:00 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: East Carolina -4.0 (91st), Charlotte -25.4 (136th). SP+ projects East Carolina by 18.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The East Carolina offense ranks 119th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.00); the Charlotte defense ranks 124th (+0.24 allowed). Biggest East Carolina edges: second-level yards per carry, sack rate, rushing explosiveness. The Charlotte defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, explosiveness.
The Charlotte offense ranks 123rd in FBS in EPA per play (−0.02); the East Carolina defense ranks 41st (+0.05 allowed). The East Carolina defense holds the edge in stuff rate, line yards per carry, power success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): East Carolina −3.4 (93rd toughest), Charlotte +0.1 (71st toughest).
Weather: Clear, 53°F at kickoff (feels like 47°), 5% chance of rain, wind NW 5 mph gusting to 7.