Early Downs College › Week 11

Baylor at No. 9 BYU: Week 11 preview

• Baylor (5-3) visits No. 9 BYU (7-1) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD. The line is BYU −7.5 with a total of 47.5.
• SP+ power ratings: Baylor 8.5 (43rd), BYU 16.7 (13th). SP+ projects BYU by 10.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Baylor offense ranks 79th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.09); the BYU defense ranks 52nd (+0.07 allowed). The BYU defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, standard-downs success rate, passing success rate.
• The BYU offense ranks 29th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the Baylor defense ranks 8th (−0.06 allowed). The Baylor defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, stuff rate, passing-downs success rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Baylor +2.5 (59th toughest), BYU +6.7 (30th toughest).
• Weather: Cloudy, 45°F at kickoff (feels like 42°), 24% chance of rain, wind N 3 mph gusting to 8.