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Arizona State at UCF: Week 11 preview

• Arizona State (4-4) visits UCF (4-4) on Sat, Nov 14 · TBD.
• SP+ power ratings: Arizona State 2.3 (62nd), UCF 4.5 (56th). SP+ projects UCF by 4.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Arizona State offense ranks 127th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the UCF defense ranks 59th (+0.09 allowed). The UCF defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush, explosiveness.
• The UCF offense ranks 99th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Arizona State defense ranks 50th (+0.07 allowed). The Arizona State defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, EPA per rush, stuff rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Arizona State +7.9 (22nd toughest), UCF +8.3 (18th toughest).
• Weather: Cloudy, 69°F at kickoff (feels like 64°), 6% chance of rain, wind NE 10 mph gusting to 10.