No. 5 Alabama at Vanderbilt: Week 11 preview

No. 5 Alabama (6-2) visits Vanderbilt (3-5) on Sat, Nov 14 · 12:45 PM ET.
SP+ power ratings: Alabama 20.9 (7th), Vanderbilt -1.4 (77th). SP+ projects Alabama by 19.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Alabama offense ranks 12th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.26); the Vanderbilt defense ranks 105th (+0.18 allowed). Biggest Alabama edges: standard-downs success rate, rushing success rate, success rate.
The Vanderbilt offense ranks 98th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Alabama defense ranks 18th (−0.01 allowed). Biggest Vanderbilt edges: explosiveness, passing explosiveness, rushing explosiveness. The Alabama defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, line yards per carry, second-level yards per carry.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Alabama +10.5 (9th toughest), Vanderbilt +6.6 (32nd toughest).
Weather: Clear, 48°F at kickoff (feels like 40°), 3% chance of rain, wind N 6 mph gusting to 8.