West Virginia at No. 15 Texas Tech: Week 10 preview

West Virginia (5-3) visits No. 15 Texas Tech (7-1) on Sat, Nov 7 · 9:30 PM ET. The line is Texas Tech −16.5 with a total of 65.5.
SP+ power ratings: West Virginia 0.0 (70th), Texas Tech 18.4 (9th). SP+ projects Texas Tech by 20.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The West Virginia offense ranks 54th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the Texas Tech defense ranks 22nd (+0.00 allowed). Biggest West Virginia edges: passing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Texas Tech defense holds the edge in standard-downs success rate, sack rate, line yards per carry.
The Texas Tech offense ranks 58th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the West Virginia defense ranks 133rd (+0.29 allowed). Biggest Texas Tech edges: passing-downs success rate, passing success rate, second-level yards per carry. The West Virginia defense holds the edge in power success rate, stuff rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): West Virginia +5.4 (38th toughest), Texas Tech +3.2 (55th toughest).
Weather: Cloudy, 52°F at kickoff (feels like 49°), 3% chance of rain, wind SE 4 mph gusting to 4.