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UTSA at Florida Atlantic: Week 10 preview

• UTSA (7-1) visits Florida Atlantic (5-3) on Thu, Nov 5 · 7:30 PM ET. The line is UTSA −6.5 with a total of 72.5.
• SP+ power ratings: UTSA 3.5 (59th), Florida Atlantic -3.4 (90th). SP+ projects UTSA by 4.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The UTSA offense ranks 30th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the Florida Atlantic defense ranks 127th (+0.28 allowed). Biggest UTSA edges: EPA per rush, rushing success rate, power success rate.
• The Florida Atlantic offense ranks 32nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the UTSA defense ranks 91st (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Florida Atlantic edges: sack rate, EPA per pass, power success rate. The UTSA defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): UTSA −1.2 (80th toughest), Florida Atlantic −5.3 (104th toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 76°F at kickoff (feels like 80°), 1% chance of rain, wind NE 8 mph gusting to 12.