Early Downs College › Week 10

South Florida at East Carolina: Week 10 preview

• South Florida (6-2) visits East Carolina (4-4) on Fri, Nov 6 · 7:30 PM ET. The line is East Carolina −2.5 with a total of 39.5.
• SP+ power ratings: South Florida 2.2 (63rd), East Carolina -4.0 (91st). SP+ projects South Florida by 3.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The South Florida offense ranks 103rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.04); the East Carolina defense ranks 41st (+0.05 allowed). The East Carolina defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, stuff rate, EPA per pass.
• The East Carolina offense ranks 119th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.00); the South Florida defense ranks 16th (−0.02 allowed). The South Florida defense holds the edge in EPA per play, EPA per pass, explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): South Florida −8.7 (132nd toughest), East Carolina −3.4 (93rd toughest).
• Weather watch: Cloudy, 65°F at kickoff (feels like 68°), 99% chance of rain, wind N 6 mph gusting to 13.