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Texas State at Oregon State: Week 10 preview

• Texas State (4-4) visits Oregon State (5-3) on Sat, Nov 7 · 10:30 PM ET. The line is Oregon State −6.5 with a total of 71.5.
• SP+ power ratings: Texas State 1.5 (65th), Oregon State 6.6 (50th). SP+ projects Oregon State by 7.6, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Texas State offense ranks 23rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.22); the Oregon State defense ranks 80th (+0.13 allowed). Biggest Texas State edges: passing-downs success rate, passing explosiveness, passing success rate. The Oregon State defense holds the edge in power success rate.
• The Oregon State offense ranks 20th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.24); the Texas State defense ranks 111th (+0.20 allowed). Biggest Oregon State edges: sack rate, passing success rate, passing-downs success rate. The Texas State defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Texas State +1.1 (63rd toughest), Oregon State −3.0 (90th toughest).
• Weather watch: Cloudy, 54°F at kickoff (feels like 52°), 45% chance of rain, wind S 14 mph gusting to 31.