No. 7 Texas at No. 18 Missouri: Week 10 preview

No. 7 Texas (6-2) visits No. 18 Missouri (6-2) on Sat, Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET. The line is Texas −2.5 with a total of 42.5.
SP+ power ratings: Texas 20.4 (8th), Missouri 14.2 (18th). SP+ projects Texas by 3.7, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Texas offense ranks 91st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.06); the Missouri defense ranks 23rd (+0.00 allowed). Biggest Texas edges: passing explosiveness. The Missouri defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, EPA per rush, stuff rate.
The Missouri offense ranks 51st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.15); the Texas defense ranks 13th (−0.03 allowed). The Texas defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, success rate, passing-downs success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Texas +11.6 (5th toughest), Missouri +4.8 (43rd toughest).
Weather: Cloudy, 51°F at kickoff (feels like 46°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 3 mph gusting to 4.