TCU at No. 22 Arizona: Week 10 preview

TCU (4-4) visits No. 22 Arizona (6-2) on Fri, Nov 6 · 10:15 PM ET. The line is Arizona −7.5 with a total of 45.5.
SP+ power ratings: TCU 8.6 (41st), Arizona 16.0 (14th). SP+ projects Arizona by 9.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The TCU offense ranks 108th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.02); the Arizona defense ranks 25th (+0.01 allowed). Biggest TCU edges: explosiveness, power success rate, passing explosiveness. The Arizona defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, EPA per play, success rate.
The Arizona offense ranks 14th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.26); the TCU defense ranks 6th (−0.07 allowed). The TCU defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, EPA per rush, sack rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): TCU +4.2 (48th toughest), Arizona +0.2 (70th toughest).
Weather: Clear, 64°F at kickoff (feels like 60°), 8% chance of rain, wind NW 7 mph gusting to 14.