Sam Houston at Jacksonville State: Week 10 preview

Sam Houston (1-7) visits Jacksonville State (6-2) on Sat, Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ET. The line is Jacksonville State −17.5 with a total of 47.5.
SP+ power ratings: Sam Houston -18.0 (129th), Jacksonville State -2.6 (84th). SP+ projects Jacksonville State by 17.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Sam Houston offense ranks 134th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.10); the Jacksonville State defense ranks 69th (+0.11 allowed). The Jacksonville State defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, EPA per pass, passing success rate.
The Jacksonville State offense ranks 56th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Sam Houston defense ranks 74th (+0.12 allowed). Biggest Jacksonville State edges: second-level yards per carry, EPA per rush, rushing explosiveness. The Sam Houston defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, EPA per pass, stuff rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Sam Houston −4.0 (96th toughest), Jacksonville State −6.9 (120th toughest).
Weather: Clear, 50°F at kickoff (feels like 45°), 0% chance of rain, wind N 5 mph gusting to 5.