Oklahoma at No. 24 Florida: Week 10 preview

Oklahoma (4-4) visits No. 24 Florida (5-3) on Sat, Nov 7 · 7:45 PM ET. The line is Florida −6.5 with a total of 44.5.
SP+ power ratings: Oklahoma 10.3 (33rd), Florida 10.6 (31st). SP+ projects Florida by 2.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Oklahoma offense ranks 122nd in FBS in EPA per play (−0.02); the Florida defense ranks 82nd (+0.14 allowed). The Florida defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush, second-level yards per carry.
The Florida offense ranks 34th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the Oklahoma defense ranks 10th (−0.06 allowed). Biggest Florida edges: rushing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Oklahoma defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, sack rate, line yards per carry.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Oklahoma +8.9 (16th toughest), Florida +12.9 (1st toughest).
Weather: Clear, 68°F at kickoff (feels like 65°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 6 mph gusting to 6.