No. 23 Oregon at No. 12 Ohio State: Week 10 preview

No. 23 Oregon (5-3) visits No. 12 Ohio State (6-2) on Sat, Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET. The line is Ohio State −7.5 with a total of 46.5.
SP+ power ratings: Oregon 17.0 (12th), Ohio State 28.6 (1st). SP+ projects Ohio State by 14.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Oregon offense ranks 96th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Ohio State defense ranks 15th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Oregon edges: sack rate, passing explosiveness, explosiveness. The Ohio State defense holds the edge in line yards per carry, EPA per rush, passing success rate.
The Ohio State offense ranks 16th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.25); the Oregon defense ranks 42nd (+0.05 allowed). Biggest Ohio State edges: stuff rate. The Oregon defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Oregon +12.5 (2nd toughest), Ohio State +4.3 (47th toughest).
Weather: Mostly clear, 54°F at kickoff (feels like 47°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 10 mph gusting to 14.