Oklahoma State at Kansas State: Week 10 preview

Oklahoma State (5-3) visits Kansas State (4-4) on Sat, Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET. The line is Oklahoma State −5.5 with a total of 62.5.
SP+ power ratings: Oklahoma State 12.4 (23rd), Kansas State 8.8 (39th). SP+ projects Oklahoma State by 1.1, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Oklahoma State offense ranks 33rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.19); the Kansas State defense ranks 108th (+0.19 allowed). Biggest Oklahoma State edges: second-level yards per carry, passing-downs success rate, EPA per play. The Kansas State defense holds the edge in power success rate.
The Kansas State offense ranks 55th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.14); the Oklahoma State defense ranks 92nd (+0.16 allowed). Biggest Kansas State edges: standard-downs success rate, success rate, EPA per play.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Oklahoma State +3.9 (50th toughest), Kansas State −0.2 (75th toughest).
Weather: Cloudy, 57°F at kickoff (feels like 52°), 0% chance of rain, wind SW 7 mph gusting to 10.