Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina: Week 10 preview

Old Dominion (2-7) visits Coastal Carolina (3-5) on Sat, Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET. The line is Coastal Carolina −6.5 with a total of 44.5.
SP+ power ratings: Old Dominion -14.7 (124th), Coastal Carolina -10.3 (109th). SP+ projects Coastal Carolina by 6.9, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Old Dominion offense ranks 138th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.18); the Coastal Carolina defense ranks 96th (+0.16 allowed). Biggest Old Dominion edges: passing explosiveness. The Coastal Carolina defense holds the edge in sack rate, EPA per rush, EPA per play.
The Coastal Carolina offense ranks 69th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Old Dominion defense ranks 35th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Coastal Carolina edges: passing explosiveness, passing-downs success rate. The Old Dominion defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, standard-downs success rate, EPA per rush.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Old Dominion −2.0 (84th toughest), Coastal Carolina −4.8 (101st toughest).
Weather: Clear, 68°F at kickoff (feels like 62°), 1% chance of rain, wind N 11 mph gusting to 13.