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Missouri State at Florida International: Week 10 preview

• Missouri State (3-5) visits Florida International (3-5) on Sat, Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET. The line is Florida International −4.5 with a total of 49.5.
• SP+ power ratings: Missouri State -16.9 (128th), Florida International -7.9 (100th). SP+ projects Florida International by 11.5, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Missouri State offense ranks 95th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Florida International defense ranks 44th (+0.06 allowed). The Florida International defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, EPA per rush, power success rate.
• The Florida International offense ranks 115th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.00); the Missouri State defense ranks 125th (+0.25 allowed). Biggest Florida International edges: sack rate, passing success rate. The Missouri State defense holds the edge in rushing explosiveness, explosiveness, second-level yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Missouri State −6.1 (113th toughest), Florida International −5.3 (105th toughest).
• Weather: Cloudy, 87°F at kickoff (feels like 90°), 3% chance of rain, wind E 10 mph gusting to 10.