No. 1 Miami at No. 11 Notre Dame: Week 10 preview

No. 1 Miami (8-0) visits No. 11 Notre Dame (7-1) on Sat, Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET. The line is Notre Dame −7.5 with a total of 55.5.
SP+ power ratings: Miami 24.7 (5th), Notre Dame 25.2 (3rd). SP+ projects Notre Dame by 3.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Miami offense ranks 1st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.40); the Notre Dame defense ranks 12th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Miami edges: passing success rate, stuff rate, EPA per pass. The Notre Dame defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, rushing explosiveness, passing explosiveness.
The Notre Dame offense ranks 3rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.37); the Miami defense ranks 75th (+0.12 allowed). Biggest Notre Dame edges: passing success rate, EPA per pass, success rate. The Miami defense holds the edge in second-level yards per carry, rushing explosiveness, passing explosiveness.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Miami +1.0 (66th toughest), Notre Dame 0.0 (73rd toughest).
Weather: Cloudy, 43°F at kickoff (feels like 38°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 6 mph gusting to 8.