Louisville at Georgia Tech: Week 10 preview

Louisville (5-3) visits Georgia Tech (2-6) on Sat, Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET. The line is Louisville −14.5 with a total of 61.5.
SP+ power ratings: Louisville 12.2 (25th), Georgia Tech -1.1 (75th). SP+ projects Louisville by 10.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Louisville offense ranks 9th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.30); the Georgia Tech defense ranks 117th (+0.21 allowed). Biggest Louisville edges: rushing success rate, second-level yards per carry, EPA per rush.
The Georgia Tech offense ranks 82nd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.08); the Louisville defense ranks 57th (+0.09 allowed). Biggest Georgia Tech edges: explosiveness. The Louisville defense holds the edge in power success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Louisville +4.5 (46th toughest), Georgia Tech +3.6 (52nd toughest).
Weather: Cloudy, 60°F at kickoff (feels like 52°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 8 mph gusting to 19.