James Madison at Southern Miss: Week 10 preview

James Madison (7-2) visits Southern Miss (3-5) on Thu, Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET. The line is James Madison −14.5 with a total of 57.5.
SP+ power ratings: James Madison 10.9 (29th), Southern Miss -16.0 (126th). SP+ projects James Madison by 24.4, including 2.5 points of home field.
The James Madison offense ranks 38th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.17); the Southern Miss defense ranks 97th (+0.16 allowed). Biggest James Madison edges: power success rate, stuff rate, line yards per carry.
The Southern Miss offense ranks 124th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.03); the James Madison defense ranks 29th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Southern Miss edges: stuff rate. The James Madison defense holds the edge in EPA per play, EPA per pass, passing success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): James Madison −6.9 (121st toughest), Southern Miss −6.0 (111th toughest).
Weather: Clear, 66°F at kickoff (feels like 64°), 0% chance of rain, wind S 4 mph gusting to 7.