No. 19 Iowa at Northwestern: Week 10 preview

No. 19 Iowa (6-2) visits Northwestern (6-2) on Sat, Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET. The line is Northwestern −2.5 with a total of 45.5.
SP+ power ratings: Iowa 12.4 (23rd), Northwestern 13.7 (20th). SP+ projects Northwestern by 3.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Iowa offense ranks 86th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.07); the Northwestern defense ranks 43rd (+0.06 allowed). Biggest Iowa edges: sack rate. The Northwestern defense holds the edge in passing-downs success rate, EPA per rush, passing explosiveness.
The Northwestern offense ranks 4th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.32); the Iowa defense ranks 34th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Northwestern edges: EPA per pass, passing explosiveness, passing success rate. The Iowa defense holds the edge in sack rate, stuff rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Iowa +5.1 (40th toughest), Northwestern +2.6 (58th toughest).
Weather: Partly cloudy, 49°F at kickoff (feels like 42°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 7 mph gusting to 9.