Florida State at Boston College: Week 10 preview

Florida State (3-5) visits Boston College (4-4) on Sat, Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET. The line is Florida State −6.5 with a total of 51.5.
SP+ power ratings: Florida State 5.8 (53rd), Boston College -1.5 (78th). SP+ projects Florida State by 4.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Florida State offense ranks 46th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.16); the Boston College defense ranks 47th (+0.06 allowed). Biggest Florida State edges: line yards per carry, passing explosiveness, second-level yards per carry. The Boston College defense holds the edge in sack rate.
The Boston College offense ranks 93rd in FBS in EPA per play (+0.05); the Florida State defense ranks 123rd (+0.24 allowed). Biggest Boston College edges: passing explosiveness, second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry. The Florida State defense holds the edge in sack rate, passing-downs success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Florida State +9.8 (12th toughest), Boston College +5.4 (37th toughest).
Weather: Drizzle, 51°F at kickoff (feels like 46°), 35% chance of rain, wind NE 10 mph gusting to 23.