Early Downs College › Week 10

Fresno State at Utah State: Week 10 preview

• Fresno State (5-3) visits Utah State (3-5) on Sat, Nov 7 · 9:30 PM ET. The line is Fresno State −2.5 with a total of 42.5.
• SP+ power ratings: Fresno State 2.6 (61st), Utah State -9.2 (105th). SP+ projects Fresno State by 9.3, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Fresno State offense ranks 68th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.11); the Utah State defense ranks 36th (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Fresno State edges: rushing explosiveness. The Utah State defense holds the edge in stuff rate, line yards per carry, EPA per rush.
• The Utah State offense ranks 105th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.03); the Fresno State defense ranks 33rd (+0.04 allowed). The Fresno State defense holds the edge in EPA per play, EPA per pass, stuff rate.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Fresno State −5.7 (107th toughest), Utah State +1.1 (65th toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 45°F at kickoff (feels like 39°), 0% chance of rain, wind E 5 mph gusting to 5.