Clemson at Syracuse: Week 10 preview

Clemson (5-3) visits Syracuse (4-4) on Sat, Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET. The line is Clemson −2.5 with a total of 50.5.
SP+ power ratings: Clemson 4.7 (55th), Syracuse -2.8 (87th). SP+ projects Clemson by 5.0, including 2.5 points of home field.
The Clemson offense ranks 128th in FBS in EPA per play (−0.04); the Syracuse defense ranks 86th (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Clemson edges: rushing explosiveness. The Syracuse defense holds the edge in stuff rate, passing explosiveness, line yards per carry.
The Syracuse offense ranks 106th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.03); the Clemson defense ranks 32nd (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Syracuse edges: rushing success rate, stuff rate. The Clemson defense holds the edge in EPA per play, EPA per pass, rushing explosiveness.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Clemson +7.9 (24th toughest), Syracuse +5.1 (41st toughest).
Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.