No. 9 BYU at No. 3 Utah: Week 10 preview

No. 9 BYU (7-1) visits No. 3 Utah (8-0) on Sat, Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET. The line is Utah −4.5 with a total of 48.5.
SP+ power ratings: BYU 16.7 (13th), Utah 18.0 (10th). SP+ projects Utah by 3.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
The BYU offense ranks 29th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.20); the Utah defense ranks 21st (−0.01 allowed). Biggest BYU edges: sack rate, explosiveness, rushing explosiveness. The Utah defense holds the edge in stuff rate, second-level yards per carry, line yards per carry.
The Utah offense ranks 7th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.31); the BYU defense ranks 52nd (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Utah edges: passing-downs success rate, line yards per carry, EPA per rush. The BYU defense holds the edge in passing explosiveness, power success rate.
Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): BYU +6.7 (30th toughest), Utah +1.1 (64th toughest).
Weather: Cloudy, 48°F at kickoff (feels like 44°), 0% chance of rain, wind S 2 mph gusting to 4.