Early Downs College › Week 10

No. 25 Boise State at Colorado State: Week 10 preview

• No. 25 Boise State (7-1) visits Colorado State (3-5) on Sat, Nov 7 · 6:00 PM ET. The line is Boise State −17.5 with a total of 68.5.
• SP+ power ratings: Boise State 10.9 (29th), Colorado State -8.4 (103rd). SP+ projects Boise State by 16.8, including 2.5 points of home field.
• The Boise State offense ranks 6th in FBS in EPA per play (+0.31); the Colorado State defense ranks 138th (+0.40 allowed). Biggest Boise State edges: EPA per play, power success rate, EPA per rush.
• The Colorado State offense ranks 21st in FBS in EPA per play (+0.23); the Boise State defense ranks 45th (+0.06 allowed). Biggest Colorado State edges: explosiveness, rushing explosiveness, passing explosiveness. The Boise State defense holds the edge in stuff rate, second-level yards per carry.
• Schedule so far (average FBS opponent SP+): Boise State +0.3 (69th toughest), Colorado State +0.5 (68th toughest).
• Weather: Clear, 62°F at kickoff (feels like 55°), 0% chance of rain, wind SE 3 mph gusting to 3.