Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers: Week 8 preview

The Carolina Panthers (3-3) visit the Green Bay Packers (4-3) on Thu, Oct 29 · 8:15 PM ET. The line is Packers −3.5 with a total of 46.5.
The Panthers offense ranks 12th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Packers defense ranks 12th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Panthers edges: rushing success rate, non-explosive EPA per play, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate. The Packers defense holds the edge in stuff rate, explosive run rate, EPA per dropback.
The Packers offense ranks 17th in EPA per play (−0.00); the Panthers defense ranks 20th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Packers edges: sack rate. The Panthers defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, passing success rate, non-explosive EPA per play.
Luck check: the Packers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 134 total snaps, 5 more than a typical game.
Weather: Clear, 52°F at kickoff (feels like 46°), 0% chance of rain, wind NW 7 mph gusting to 20.