Early Downs › Week 8

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Week 8 preview

• The Atlanta Falcons (3-4) visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) on Sun, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET. The line is Buccaneers −2.5 with a total of 44.5.
• The Falcons offense ranks 22nd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Buccaneers defense ranks 3rd (−0.11 allowed). The Buccaneers defense holds the edge in EPA per dropback, non-explosive EPA per play, EPA per play.
• The Buccaneers offense ranks 28th in EPA per play (−0.08); the Falcons defense ranks 13th (−0.02 allowed). The Falcons defense holds the edge in yards per dropback, early-down EPA, explosive pass rate.
• Luck check: the Falcons have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Buccaneers have been a bit lucky (+0.9 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 128 total snaps, close to a typical game.
• Weather watch: Cloudy, 77°F at kickoff (feels like 77°), 70% chance of rain, wind E 15 mph gusting to 25.