Early Downs › Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens: Week 18 preview

• The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) visit the Baltimore Ravens (4-3) on Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Steelers offense ranks 20th in EPA per play (−0.03); the Ravens defense ranks 19th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Steelers edges: EPA per designed run, opportunity rate, average 3rd-down distance. The Ravens defense holds the edge in early-down EPA, yards per dropback, EPA per dropback.
• The Ravens offense ranks 8th in EPA per play (+0.07); the Steelers defense ranks 7th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Ravens edges: passing success rate, explosive play rate, explosive run rate. The Steelers defense holds the edge in 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, stuff rate, sack rate.
• Luck check: the Ravens have been a bit unlucky (−1.1 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 127 total snaps, 2 fewer than a typical game.